Sturm GrazvsFenerbahçe

Sturm Graz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (67.8 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the UEFA Champions League, while Sturm Graz holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.