Sturm Grazvs
Austria Lustenau
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 8/22/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sturm Graz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sturm Graz 1-1 Austria Lustenau
Original prediction
Sturm Graz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sturm Graz
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Sturm Graz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sturm GrazWLWLD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Austria LustenauWLDWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sturm GrazAustria Lustenau
44.4Attack44.4
88.9Defence55.6
77.8Form44.4
72.8Power51.1
1.50xG0.98