GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 8/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturm Graz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sturm Graz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Austria Klagenfurt are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Bundesliga, while Sturm Graz holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturm Graz

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

Sturm Graz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm GrazLWWLW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Austria KlagenfurtDWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 2.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Sturm GrazAustria Klagenfurt
50.0Attack41.7
83.3Defence47.9
66.7Form40.6
68.0Power45.5
1.70xG0.91
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