Sturm GrazvsAtalanta

Sturm Graz are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atalanta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atalanta hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Atalanta holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.