Sturm Graz IIvs
Wacker Innsbruck
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 9/19/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wacker Innsbruck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sturm Graz II 2-2 Wacker Innsbruck
Original prediction
Wacker Innsbruck
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 30.1% | 32.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.1% | 23.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.9% | 43.5% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Wacker Innsbruck
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Wacker Innsbruck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00