GGOALVIO

Austria · 2. Liga · 7/30/2023, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturm Graz II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sturm Graz II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while SKN ST. Polten are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz II hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the 2. Liga, while Sturm Graz II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturm Graz II

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Sturm Graz II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm Graz IILDLDL

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SKN ST. PoltenWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sturm Graz IISKN ST. Polten
66.7Attack0.0
0.0Defence66.7
50.0Form0.0
40.7Power26.7
1.66xG1.26
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