Sturm Graz IIvs
Rapid Wien II
COMPLETEDAustria · 2. Liga · 8/30/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rapid Wien II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sturm Graz II 5-2 Rapid Wien II
Original prediction
Rapid Wien II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 34.2% | 34.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.3% | 25.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 40.6% | 39.9% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Rapid Wien II
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Rapid Wien II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40