GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturm Graz II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sturm Graz II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kalsdorf are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturm Graz II hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (64.0 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sturm Graz II holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturm Graz II

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Sturm Graz II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sturm Graz IIWWWDD

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KalsdorfWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sturm Graz IIKalsdorf
86.1Attack29.2
44.4Defence75.0
63.9Form50.0
64.0Power54.5
1.99xG1.03
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