Friendlies Clubs
Sturm Graz II
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Budapest Honved
AwayFriendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.
The model projects 1.13 xG for Sturm Graz II and 1.91 xG for Budapest Honved — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Budapest Honved holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.04 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesSturm Graz IIBudapest HonvedProbability breakdown
Budapest Honved leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Budapest Honved Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1
Sturm Graz II host Budapest Honved in Friendlies Clubs. Sturm Graz II have recorded LLLLLL in recent matches while Budapest Honved arrive with a run of WWWWLD. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game.
Why GoalVio backs this
The xG model projects 1.13 for Sturm Graz II and 1.91 for Budapest Honved. The gap of 0.79 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.
Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.
Risk factors
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Head to head
Recent form
Sturm Graz II
Budapest Honved
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sturm Graz II vs Budapest Honved?
GoalVio's model predicts Budapest Honved to win with 33% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz II vs Budapest Honved?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz II vs Budapest Honved?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sturm Graz II vs Budapest Honved?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.