GGOALVIO

Bosnia · 1st League - FBiH · 10/18/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Stupčanica Olovo · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Stupčanica Olovo 1-1 GOŠK Gabela

Original prediction

Stupčanica Olovo

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5757.5%56.1%-1.4 pts
Draw3.6824.5%24.3%-0.2 pts
Away5.0118.0%19.5%1.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.2–012%

Predicted outcome

Stupčanica Olovo

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Stupčanica Olovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Stupčanica OlovoWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GOŠK GabelaLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Stupčanica OlovoGOŠK Gabela
81.5Attack48.1
70.4Defence70.4
70.4Form59.3
72.0Power60.1
1.54xG0.80
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