Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Struga · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Struga 3-0 Skopje, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Struga 4-0 Skopje
Original prediction
Struga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 78.4% | 70.2% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.17 | 14.6% | 17.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 12.83 | 7.0% | 12.6% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Projected Score
Struga 3–0 Skopje
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Struga
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
70.2%
Struga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StrugaWLWDW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SkopjeLLLLW
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
StrugaSkopje
73.3Attack16.7
76.7Defence43.3
66.7Form10.0
69.9Power26.8
3.02xG0.31