Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Struga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Struga 1-0 Sileks
Original prediction
Struga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.8% | 47.3% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.9% | 25.7% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.2% | 27.0% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Struga
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Struga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StrugaWWLWD
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SileksLLWDW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
StrugaSileks
66.7Attack73.3
80.0Defence53.3
66.7Form46.7
69.6Power53.7
1.77xG1.12