GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/6/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Struga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Struga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KF Gostivari are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Struga hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the First League, while Struga holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Struga

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Struga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StrugaWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KF GostivariWLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
StrugaKF Gostivari
66.7Attack32.3
83.3Defence61.6
66.7Form42.4
71.2Power47.6
1.34xG0.71
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