GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/18/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Struga are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Zalgiris Vilnius hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the UEFA Champions League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.2%

Model confidence

34.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StrugaDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK Zalgiris VilniusDWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
StrugaFK Zalgiris Vilnius
16.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
16.7Form41.7
36.5Power50.3
1.21xG1.16
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