Strugavs
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 7/18/2023, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Struga are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Zalgiris Vilnius hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the UEFA Champions League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80