Strugavs
Bregalnica Štip
COMPLETEDMacedonia · First League · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Struga · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Struga 4-0 Bregalnica Štip
Original prediction
Struga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.3% | 48.6% | -15.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.0% | 25.2% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 6.08 | 14.8% | 26.1% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Struga
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Struga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StrugaLWDWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bregalnica ŠtipWLWLW
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
StrugaBregalnica Štip
50.0Attack66.7
75.0Defence50.0
58.3Form50.0
61.6Power53.1
1.51xG1.12