Stromsgodsetvs
Sandnes ULF
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stromsgodset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stromsgodset 4-1 Sandnes ULF
Original prediction
Stromsgodset
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 69.8% | 62.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.37 | 17.1% | 19.7% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 7.04 | 13.1% | 17.8% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–18%
Predicted outcome
Stromsgodset
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
62.6%
Stromsgodset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60