Stromsgodsetvs
Kongsvinger
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stromsgodset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stromsgodset 5-1 Kongsvinger
Original prediction
Stromsgodset
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.9% | 48.1% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.8% | 22.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 26.3% | 29.7% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Stromsgodset
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Stromsgodset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20