Stromsgodsetvs
Asane
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stromsgodset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stromsgodset 1-0 Asane
Original prediction
Stromsgodset
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 82.0% | 69.4% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 8.55 | 10.8% | 16.3% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 12.97 | 7.1% | 14.2% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–110%
- 2.5–19%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Stromsgodset
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
69.4%
Stromsgodset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40