Strommenvs
Stromsgodset
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stromsgodset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-4 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strommen 1-0 Stromsgodset
Original prediction
Stromsgodset
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.34 | 12.5% | 15.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.61 | 16.4% | 16.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 71.1% | 68.6% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–48%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Stromsgodset
Probability
68.6%
Model confidence
68.6%
Stromsgodset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20
GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40