GGOALVIO

Norway · 1. Division · 10/3/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Strommen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Strommen 3-3 Sandnes ULF

Original prediction

Strommen

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4238.1%38.1%0.1 pts
Draw3.5026.3%25.4%-0.9 pts
Away2.5835.6%36.4%0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–18%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.2–28%

Predicted outcome

Strommen

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Strommen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StrommenLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sandnes ULFLWLDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
StrommenSandnes ULF
50.7Attack46.4
24.6Defence39.1
36.2Form34.8
39.2Power40.8
2.02xG1.95
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