Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strommen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strommen 3-1 Raufoss
Original prediction
Strommen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 49.0% | 49.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.7% | 19.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 26.3% | 30.4% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Strommen
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Strommen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StrommenLLWDL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RaufossLLLWW
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
StrommenRaufoss
46.3Attack40.7
16.7Defence20.4
27.8Form29.6
32.8Power32.7
2.41xG1.89