Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Strommen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Haugesund are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.4% in the 1. Division, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
73.4%
Model confidence
73.4%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80