Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strommen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Strommen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Grorud are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Strommen hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Strommen holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Strommen
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
10.0%
Strommen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20