Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strommen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Strommen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Follo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Strommen hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.7% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Strommen holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Strommen
Probability
76.7%
Model confidence
76.7%
Strommen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60