Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bryne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strommen 2-0 Bryne
Original prediction
Bryne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.6% | 30.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.8% | 24.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.7% | 44.6% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Bryne
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Bryne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StrommenWWLLW
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BryneLWWWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
StrommenBryne
50.0Attack43.3
21.7Defence51.7
35.0Form48.3
37.8Power49.7
1.53xG1.96