StroginovsZnamya Truda

Strogino are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Znamya Truda are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Znamya Truda hold a 50.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Cup, while Znamya Truda holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.