Stroginovs
Salyut-Belgorod
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salyut-Belgorod · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strogino 1-6 Salyut-Belgorod
Original prediction
Salyut-Belgorod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.61 | 19.8% | 17.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.1% | 21.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 58.1% | 61.2% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Salyut-Belgorod
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Salyut-Belgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20