Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ryazan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Strogino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ryazan are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ryazan hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 62.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.4% in the Second League - Group 3, while Ryazan holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ryazan
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Ryazan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40