Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strogino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strogino 0-1 Rotor-2
Original prediction
Strogino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.1% | 48.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.1% | 26.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 25.8% | 25.1% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Strogino
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Strogino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StroginoWLLLL
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rotor-2WDLDL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
StroginoRotor-2
41.7Attack21.4
40.5Defence51.2
36.9Form22.6
41.3Power34.3
1.34xG0.85