GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/6/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Strogino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Strogino are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Peresvet Podolsk are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Strogino hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 21.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the Second League - Group 3, while Strogino holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Strogino

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

57.7%

Strogino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StroginoLLLLD

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Peresvet PodolskLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 1.50/4.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
StroginoPeresvet Podolsk
40.4Attack41.2
45.6Defence0.0
38.6Form13.7
43.4Power21.9
2.23xG1.16
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