Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strání · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strání 1-3 Šternberk
Original prediction
Strání
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.7% | 73.0% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.62 | 12.0% | 14.1% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 12.62 | 7.2% | 12.9% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Strání
Probability
73.0%
Model confidence
73.0%
Strání has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StráníWWWWW
GF 26 · GA 7 · avg 5.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
ŠternberkWLLWW
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
StráníŠternberk
100.0Attack62.5
54.2Defence37.5
91.7Form41.7
79.8Power45.3
3.59xG1.45