Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strání · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strání 9-0 Nové Sady
Original prediction
Strání
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 70.6% | 62.8% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.13 | 17.5% | 19.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 7.59 | 11.8% | 17.4% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Strání
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
Strání has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
StráníWDWLL
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Nové SadyLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
StráníNové Sady
88.9Attack33.3
55.6Defence0.0
77.8Form0.0
75.3Power14.9
3.04xG1.14