Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strání · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Strání are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kozlovice are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kozlovice hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the 4. liga - Divizie E, while Strání holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Strání
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
9.5%
Strání has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80