Strømsgodset IIvs
Ulfstind
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strømsgodset II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strømsgodset II 7-2 Ulfstind
Original prediction
Strømsgodset II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 83.3% | 73.6% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 8.25 | 11.0% | 12.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 15.88 | 5.7% | 13.8% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.4–17%
- 3.5–27%
Predicted outcome
Strømsgodset II
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
73.6%
Strømsgodset II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00