Strømsgodset IIvs
Skjetten
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 10/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skjetten · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-4 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 2-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strømsgodset II 5-1 Skjetten
Original prediction
Skjetten
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.2% | 35.4% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.5% | 18.3% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.3% | 46.4% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–46%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.2–46%
Predicted outcome
Skjetten
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Skjetten has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 15 · avg 2.60/3.00
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00