Strømsgodset IIvs
Fløya
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 5 · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fløya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strømsgodset II 2-4 Fløya
Original prediction
Fløya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 40.9% | 34.3% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 20.6% | 25.5% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.4% | 40.3% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–36%
Predicted outcome
Fløya
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Fløya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Strømsgodset IILLWLL
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FløyaWLWDL
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Strømsgodset IIFløya
44.4Attack50.0
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
20.2Power50.0
1.98xG2.64