Strindheimvs
Rosenborg II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strindheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 4-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strindheim 5-1 Rosenborg II
Original prediction
Strindheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.3% | 57.0% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.4% | 20.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.22 | 17.3% | 22.2% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.4–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Strindheim
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Strindheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40