Strindheimvs
Orkla
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Strindheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 5-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strindheim 7-0 Orkla
Original prediction
Strindheim
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 85.2% | 83.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 9.07 | 9.9% | 9.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 18.33 | 4.9% | 7.1% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.5–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Strindheim
Probability
83.3%
Model confidence
83.3%
Strindheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40