Stratford Townvs
Peterborough Sports
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peterborough Sports · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stratford Town 1-1 Peterborough Sports
Original prediction
Peterborough Sports
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 31.9% | 19.8% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.2% | 19.5% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 42.9% | 60.7% | 17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Peterborough Sports
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
Peterborough Sports has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80