Stratford Townvs
Bromsgrove Sporting
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bromsgrove Sporting · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (13%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stratford Town 2-3 Bromsgrove Sporting
Original prediction
Bromsgrove Sporting
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.1% | 16.8% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.6% | 21.1% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 46.3% | 62.1% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
Bromsgrove Sporting
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Bromsgrove Sporting has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20