GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ross County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Stranraer are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Ross County are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ross County hold a 59.0-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 82.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the League Cup, while Ross County holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ross County

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

59.0%

Ross County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

StranraerWLDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
Ross CountyWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
StranraerRoss County
33.3Attack91.7
16.7Defence75.0
8.3Form83.3
23.6Power82.6
1.03xG2.64
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