Stranraervs
Kelty Hearts
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stranraer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stranraer 2-0 Kelty Hearts
Original prediction
Stranraer
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.9% | 39.1% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 26.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.4% | 34.7% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Stranraer
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Stranraer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 13 · GA 14 · avg 2.60/2.80