Stranraervs
Kelty Hearts
SCHEDULEDScotland · League Two · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kelty Hearts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Stranraer are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kelty Hearts are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kelty Hearts hold a 31.5-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the League Two, while Kelty Hearts holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kelty Hearts
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
13.1%
Kelty Hearts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60