Stranraervs
Edinburgh City
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stranraer · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Stranraer 0-0 Edinburgh City
Original prediction
Stranraer
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 07:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.9% | 46.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.6% | 26.3% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.5% | 27.6% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Stranraer
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Stranraer has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40