Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Fife · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Stranraer are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while East Fife are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and East Fife hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the League Two, while East Fife holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
East Fife
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
East Fife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40