CupCup
Saturday, 1 August 202616:00Updated today
Strakonice

Strakonice

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vs
16:00
Milevsko

Milevsko

Away
W
Stadion Na Sidlisti
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Milevsko(61%)
Most likely exact score1-3
Win probability
Strakonice
19%
Draw
20%
Milevsko
61%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.55 xG for Strakonice and 3.32 xG for Milevsko — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-3 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Strakonice holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.Both sides have shown consistent scoring form recently — Strakonice finding the net in 1 of 1 matches and Milevsko in 6 of 10. That scoring reliability aligns with the xG projection and strengthens the BTTS case.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.88 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-3 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 4 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.

xG for (Milevsko)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Milevsko)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MilevskoMilevsko
W

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Strakonice19%
Draw20%
Milevsko61%

Milevsko leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Milevsko Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-3

Strakonice host Milevsko in Cup. Strakonice have recorded L in recent matches while Milevsko arrive with a run of WWLDWL.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 3.32 expected goals for Milevsko against 1.55 for Strakonice — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Milevsko have kept 2 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form Milevsko arrive in better recent form — 3 wins from 10 matches (WWLDWL) against Strakonice's 0. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Milevsko are generating a dominant xG advantage — 3.32 projected against 1.55 for Strakonice. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 1.77 is the clearest signal in the model that Milevsko are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Milevsko are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • Milevsko have been conceding 2.24 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Milevsko

Milevsko

W
@ Doubravka
16 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Strakonice vs Milevsko?

GoalVio's model predicts Milevsko to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Strakonice vs Milevsko?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-3.

Will both teams score in Strakonice vs Milevsko?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Strakonice vs Milevsko?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more