Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Straelen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Straelen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mülheimer are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Straelen hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (64.3 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the Oberliga - Niederrhein, while Straelen holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Straelen
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Straelen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/4.67