Strabane Athleticvs
Newington Youth
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Newington Youth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strabane Athletic 1-2 Newington Youth
Original prediction
Newington Youth
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.58 | 19.7% | 27.8% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.6% | 25.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.6% | 46.6% | -11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Newington Youth
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Newington Youth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00