Strabane Athleticvs
Loughgall
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Loughgall · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strabane Athletic 1-1 Loughgall
Original prediction
Loughgall
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.59 | 25.2% | 30.8% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 26.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.3% | 42.3% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Loughgall
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Loughgall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60