Strabane Athleticvs
Glenavon FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · League Cup · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Glenavon FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strabane Athletic 0-5 Glenavon FC
Original prediction
Glenavon FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.93 | 18.3% | 34.3% | 16.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.4% | 24.9% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.3% | 40.9% | -21.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Glenavon FC
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Glenavon FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40