Strabane Athleticvs
Ballinamallard United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 10/23/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ballinamallard United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Strabane Athletic 0-1 Ballinamallard United
Original prediction
Ballinamallard United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.7% | 27.1% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.7% | 26.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.6% | 46.4% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Ballinamallard United
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Ballinamallard United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60